Le document porte sur la d\u00e9gradation continue des comptes sociaux en France, dans le champ de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 sociale, et sur l\u2019examen en commission d\u2019un projet de loi de financement de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 sociale en cours de construction. Il constate une forte aggravation du d\u00e9ficit des administrations de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 sociale en 2025, malgr\u00e9 les exc\u00e9dents li\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019amortissement de la dette sociale. Le d\u00e9ficit se creuse nettement par rapport \u00e0 l\u2019ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente, tout en restant inf\u00e9rieur aux pr\u00e9visions de la loi de financement de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 sociale (LFSS). Sur les deux derniers exercices, le d\u00e9ficit a doubl\u00e9 et la trajectoire annonc\u00e9e de r\u00e9duction appara\u00eet peu ambitieuse et jug\u00e9e peu cr\u00e9dible.<\/p>\n
Cette situation entra\u00eene une augmentation pr\u00e9occupante de la dette sociale, aliment\u00e9e par des d\u00e9ficits r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s. La hausse de la dette porte principalement sur des \u00e9ch\u00e9ances de court terme, ce qui fragilise la trajectoire d\u2019amortissement initialement pr\u00e9vue. L\u2019accumulation de d\u00e9ficits sociaux importants met en tension la situation patrimoniale de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 sociale.<\/p>\n
En mati\u00e8re de comptabilit\u00e9 publique, le texte rel\u00e8ve des progr\u00e8s dans la certification des comptes, avec une meilleure fiabilit\u00e9 attendue en 2025. Toutefois, des anomalies significatives persistent et la situation patrimoniale reste fragilis\u00e9e par le poids de la dette sociale. En outre, les transferts entre branches (maladie, vieillesse, etc.) sont d\u00e9crits comme difficiles \u00e0 suivre, ce qui nuit \u00e0 la transparence et \u00e0 la lisibilit\u00e9 des comptes pour les d\u00e9cideurs publics.<\/p>\n
Sur le volet recettes, les encaissements pour 2025 sont conformes aux pr\u00e9visions, mais leur croissance est moins dynamique que les ann\u00e9es pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes, dans un contexte macro\u00e9conomique d\u00e9grad\u00e9. Les recettes progresseraient au m\u00eame rythme en 2026, sans acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration attendue. Cette \u00e9volution limite les marges de man\u0153uvre pour r\u00e9sorber les d\u00e9ficits.<\/p>\n
Face \u00e0 cette situation, la diminution des d\u00e9penses est pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e comme une n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 pour enrayer les d\u00e9ficits sociaux. Les d\u00e9penses globales de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 sociale, bien que conformes aux pr\u00e9visions, sont jug\u00e9es encore trop \u00e9lev\u00e9es au regard de la trajectoire budg\u00e9taire souhait\u00e9e. La branche maladie se distingue par un ONDAM (objectif national de d\u00e9penses d\u2019assurance maladie) sous-ex\u00e9cut\u00e9 en 2025 pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis 2020, signe d\u2019un certain contr\u00f4le de la d\u00e9pense. N\u00e9anmoins, la trajectoire pluriannuelle des d\u00e9penses de sant\u00e9 est consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme devant \u00eatre infl\u00e9chie en urgence pour rester soutenable.<\/p>\n
La branche vieillesse demeure sous forte tension malgr\u00e9 le reflux de l\u2019inflation. Les d\u00e9penses de retraite continuent de cro\u00eetre, ce qui p\u00e8se sur l\u2019\u00e9quilibre d\u2019ensemble. Le document souligne la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 de revoir la pr\u00e9sentation des d\u00e9penses publiques de retraite afin de mieux en appr\u00e9cier l\u2019\u00e9volution et les implications budg\u00e9taires. L\u2019ensemble de ces constats alimente les travaux parlementaires en commission sur la loi de financement de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 sociale, dans un contexte de d\u00e9gradation durable des \u00e9quilibres financiers sociaux.\u00a0(contenu r\u00e9sum\u00e9 en fran\u00e7ais par l’IA)\u200bLire la Suite<\/a>\u200b<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Le document porte sur la d\u00e9gradation continue des comptes sociaux en France, dans le champ de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 sociale, et sur l\u2019examen en commission d\u2019un projet de loi de financement […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4442,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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