Le document pr\u00e9sente une analyse des activit\u00e9s de la Russie en Am\u00e9rique latine et dans les Cara\u00efbes depuis l\u2019invasion \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle de l\u2019Ukraine en f\u00e9vrier 2022. Malgr\u00e9 un isolement international accru et la mobilisation de ressources importantes pour la guerre, la Russie a renforc\u00e9 son engagement avec plusieurs pays de la r\u00e9gion, en particulier Cuba, le Venezuela, le Nicaragua et le Br\u00e9sil. Ces pays sont identifi\u00e9s comme partenaires cl\u00e9s dans la strat\u00e9gie russe.<\/p>\n
Selon les auteurs, ces actions s\u2019inscrivent dans un objectif plus large de Moscou : maintenir et d\u00e9velopper une pr\u00e9sence politique et strat\u00e9gique loin de son territoire, en particulier dans l\u2019h\u00e9misph\u00e8re occidental. La Russie cherche \u00e0 consolider des liens bilat\u00e9raux privil\u00e9gi\u00e9s avec certains \u00c9tats et \u00e0 multiplier des engagements opportunistes dans la r\u00e9gion. Ces d\u00e9marches visent \u00e0 obtenir des soutiens dans le \u00ab Sud global \u00bb pour sa vision d\u2019un ordre mondial multipolaire oppos\u00e9 aux puissances occidentales, ainsi que pour ses revendications territoriales jug\u00e9es ill\u00e9gales par une grande partie de la communaut\u00e9 internationale.<\/p>\n
Le document souligne que cette dynamique montre que les contraintes li\u00e9es au conflit en Ukraine (co\u00fbt financier, pression diplomatique) ne suffisent pas \u00e0 emp\u00eacher la Russie de mener des politiques d\u2019influence \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9tranger. La Russie appara\u00eet capable d\u2019articuler simultan\u00e9ment une strat\u00e9gie de guerre en Europe et une strat\u00e9gie d\u2019influence diplomatique et g\u00e9opolitique en Am\u00e9rique latine et dans les Cara\u00efbes.<\/p>\n
Les implications sont principalement analys\u00e9es du point de vue des int\u00e9r\u00eats des \u00c9tats-Unis. Les auteurs insistent sur la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9, pour le gouvernement am\u00e9ricain, d\u2019\u00e9valuer de mani\u00e8re globale les activit\u00e9s russes dans l\u2019h\u00e9misph\u00e8re occidental, en les repla\u00e7ant dans un contexte plus large de concurrence d\u2019influence impliquant \u00e9galement la Chine et l\u2019Iran. Ils soulignent l\u2019importance de prendre en compte les liens entre les \u00e9volutions r\u00e9gionales en Am\u00e9rique latine et dans les Cara\u00efbes et leurs effets potentiels sur le territoire am\u00e9ricain.<\/p>\n
Le travail est publi\u00e9 par RAND Project AIR FORCE dans le cadre de la s\u00e9rie \u00ab expert insights \u00bb, qui vise \u00e0 \u00e9clairer des enjeux de politique publique. Les auteurs rappellent que les publications de RAND ne refl\u00e8tent pas n\u00e9cessairement les positions de ses clients ou financeurs, et que la diffusion de ce document est encadr\u00e9e par des restrictions de r\u00e9utilisation commerciale. Aucune donn\u00e9e chiffr\u00e9e sp\u00e9cifique, ni mesure concr\u00e8te de politique publique interne aux pays \u00e9tudi\u00e9s, ni \u00e9l\u00e9ment directement li\u00e9 aux politiques de sant\u00e9, d\u2019affaires sociales, de travail ou d\u2019emploi n\u2019est d\u00e9taill\u00e9 dans le texte fourni.(contenu r\u00e9sum\u00e9 en fran\u00e7ais par l’IA)\u00a0Lire la Suite<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Le document pr\u00e9sente une analyse des activit\u00e9s de la Russie en Am\u00e9rique latine et dans les Cara\u00efbes depuis l\u2019invasion \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle de l\u2019Ukraine en f\u00e9vrier 2022. Malgr\u00e9 un isolement […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10675,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[234,227,226],"class_list":["post-16958","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-donnees-etudes-evaluation-et-prospective","tag-rand","tag-ia","tag-sources-etrangeres"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16958","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16958"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16958\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10675"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16958"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16958"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16958"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}