Le Conseil \u00e9conomique, social et environnemental (CESE) consacre le Rapport annuel sur l\u2019\u00e9tat de la France 2026 (RAEF 2026) \u00e0 la question du \u00ab basculement d\u00e9mographique \u00bb et \u00e0 ses cons\u00e9quences pour les politiques publiques. Ce rapport s\u2019appuie notamment sur un sondage IPSOS r\u00e9alis\u00e9 en septembre, avant la g\u00e9n\u00e9ralisation du mouvement des lyc\u00e9ens \u00e0 partir de la mobilisation du 17 octobre. Ce sondage montre que le pouvoir d\u2019achat reste la pr\u00e9occupation principale des Fran\u00e7ais, en particulier de ceux en \u00e2ge d\u2019avoir des enfants, et constitue un prisme majeur pour comprendre les \u00e9volutions d\u00e9mographiques.<\/p>\n
Le CESE met en avant une baisse de la natalit\u00e9 interpr\u00e9t\u00e9e comme un renoncement en partie subi \u00e0 la parentalit\u00e9. Plusieurs facteurs sont \u00e9voqu\u00e9s : difficult\u00e9 des jeunes \u00e0 se projeter dans un monde aux ressources limit\u00e9es et dans un contexte \u00e9conomique jug\u00e9 difficile, contraintes li\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019organisation du temps de travail, acc\u00e8s \u00e0 un mode de garde de confiance et \u00e0 un logement adapt\u00e9. Ces \u00e9l\u00e9ments p\u00e8sent sur le d\u00e9sir ou la possibilit\u00e9 d\u2019avoir des enfants et renvoient directement \u00e0 des enjeux de politiques sociales, familiales, de logement et d\u2019organisation du travail.<\/p>\n
Parall\u00e8lement, le CESE souligne le vieillissement de la population fran\u00e7aise, marqu\u00e9 par un allongement de l\u2019esp\u00e9rance de vie en relativement bonne sant\u00e9, ainsi qu\u2019une inqui\u00e9tude des seniors concernant la baisse de la population active. Ce constat renvoie \u00e0 plusieurs sujets structurants pour les politiques publiques : \u00e2ge de d\u00e9part \u00e0 la retraite (th\u00e8me sensible lors de la derni\u00e8re campagne pr\u00e9sidentielle), viabilit\u00e9 du mod\u00e8le social, financement de la d\u00e9pendance et niveau de la dette publique.<\/p>\n
Le CESE s\u2019appuie sur les r\u00e9sultats du sondage IPSOS et sur des contributions transversales de plusieurs de ses commissions de travail, notamment la commission \u00c9conomie et finances, afin de proposer un changement de paradigme dans l\u2019approche de la d\u00e9mographie. L\u2019objectif affich\u00e9 est de construire un nouveau r\u00e9cit d\u00e9mographique fond\u00e9 sur des leviers positifs d\u2019action transversale pour les politiques publiques (sociales, \u00e9conomiques, familiales, de sant\u00e9 et d\u2019emploi). Les r\u00e9sultats et pistes d\u2019action du RAEF 2026 doivent \u00eatre pr\u00e9sent\u00e9s en assembl\u00e9e pl\u00e9ni\u00e8re le 28 octobre \u00e0 14h, par Marie-H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Meyling (Groupe CFDT), au nom de la commission \u00c9conomie et finances, apr\u00e8s une ouverture de s\u00e9ance et des interventions de la Pr\u00e9sidente du CESE, Claire Thoury. Brice Teinturier est charg\u00e9 de pr\u00e9senter l\u2019ensemble des r\u00e9sultats du sondage.\u00a0(contenu r\u00e9sum\u00e9 par l’IA)\u200bLire la Suite<\/a>\u200b<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Le Conseil \u00e9conomique, social et environnemental (CESE) consacre le Rapport annuel sur l\u2019\u00e9tat de la France 2026 (RAEF 2026) \u00e0 la question du \u00ab basculement d\u00e9mographique \u00bb et \u00e0 ses […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7048,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[193,227],"class_list":["post-21791","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-evaluation-des-politiques-sociales-et-sanitaires","tag-cese","tag-ia"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21791","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=21791"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21791\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/7048"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=21791"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=21791"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/veilles-affaires-sociales.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=21791"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}